EOL: Energy Trading Software - Priced for Perfection in an Imperfect World
STRONG SELL rating with 84% downside to $2.20 fair value. EBITDA margins compressing from 26.4% peak as competition intensifies.
View noteSTRONG SELL rating with 84% downside to $2.20 fair value. EBITDA margins compressing from 26.4% peak as competition intensifies.
View noteQuality gold producer with US$1,075/oz AISC trading at A$4.11 vs A$2.71 fair value. Strong operations, excessive valuation, 34% overvalued.
View noteHOLD rating with $0.56 fair value vs $0.57 current price. Market leader in seniors' rental (18% share, 98% occupancy) executing risky all-age expansion. 35% execution failure probability creates binary outcomes.
View noteSELL rating with fair value $18.62 vs current $30.24. Healthcare distribution leader faces margin compression and direct distribution threats.
View noteSELL rating with fair value $4.71 vs current $7.42. Office REIT facing structural headwinds from hybrid working, 64% downside risk.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.39 fair value vs $2.80 current price. Exceptional 98.6% occupancy offset by development execution risks and overvaluation concerns.
View noteREDUCE rating with $5.50 target vs $9.06 current. Fair value $5.07 implies 44% downside. 71% ROIC, debt-free balance sheet offset by Microsoft dependency and margin compression.
View noteIndustrial cooling manufacturer trading 58% above $2.65 fair value with deteriorating competitive moat, value-destructive ROIC of 7.5% vs 10.5% WACC, and technology disruption risks.
View noteInfrastructure monopoly trading at $4.77 vs $3.11 fair value. 6.0x leverage, 2031 regulatory renewal risk, 91% DCF downside. Quality score 5.1/10.
View noteHOLD rating with $3.25 fair value vs $4.08 current price. 20% downside risk from premium valuation and unsustainable 0.61x distribution coverage.
View noteHOLD rating with NZ$5.60 fair value vs NZ$8.43 current price. 87% market share infrastructure monopoly facing 2028 regulatory reset risks and margin compression pressures.
View noteSELL rating with $5.20 fair value vs $12.51 current price. Industry-leading AISC of $1,468/oz but trading at 18.6x EV/EBITDA versus peer median 8.5x.
View note