Upside: Low

eol

EOL: Energy Trading Software - Priced for Perfection in an Imperfect World

Updated 8 Oct 2025

STRONG SELL rating with 84% downside to $2.20 fair value. EBITDA margins compressing from 26.4% peak as competition intensifies.

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emr

EMR: Gold Mining Transformer - Digging Deep, Priced Sky High

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Quality gold producer with US$1,075/oz AISC trading at A$4.11 vs A$2.71 fair value. Strong operations, excessive valuation, 34% overvalued.

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egh

EGH: Seniors' Rental Leader - All-Age Ambitions Meet Execution Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $0.56 fair value vs $0.57 current price. Market leader in seniors' rental (18% share, 98% occupancy) executing risky all-age expansion. 35% execution failure probability creates binary outcomes.

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ebo

EBO: Healthcare Distribution Giant - Wholesale Disruption Looms Large

Updated 8 Oct 2025

SELL rating with fair value $18.62 vs current $30.24. Healthcare distribution leader faces margin compression and direct distribution threats.

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dxs

DXS: Office REIT Giant - Hybrid Working's Permanent Hangover

Updated 8 Oct 2025

SELL rating with fair value $4.71 vs current $7.42. Office REIT facing structural headwinds from hybrid working, 64% downside risk.

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dxi

DXI: Industrial REIT Specialist - Development Dreams Meet Reality Check

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $2.39 fair value vs $2.80 current price. Exceptional 98.6% occupancy offset by development execution risks and overvaluation concerns.

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dtl

DTL: IT Services Stalwart - Microsoft's Margin Squeeze Meets Reality Check

Updated 8 Oct 2025

REDUCE rating with $5.50 target vs $9.06 current. Fair value $5.07 implies 44% downside. 71% ROIC, debt-free balance sheet offset by Microsoft dependency and margin compression.

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drr

DRR: Industrial Cooling Specialist - Overheating on Overvaluation

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Industrial cooling manufacturer trading 58% above $2.65 fair value with deteriorating competitive moat, value-destructive ROIC of 7.5% vs 10.5% WACC, and technology disruption risks.

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dbi

DBI: Coal Terminal Monopoly - Regulatory Cliff Ahead, Value Trap Below

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Infrastructure monopoly trading at $4.77 vs $3.11 fair value. 6.0x leverage, 2031 regulatory renewal risk, 91% DCF downside. Quality score 5.1/10.

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cqr

CQR: Convenience Retail Champion - Premium Price, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.25 fair value vs $4.08 current price. 20% downside risk from premium valuation and unsustainable 0.61x distribution coverage.

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cnu

CNU: Fibre Infrastructure Giant - Regulatory Reset Roulette

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with NZ$5.60 fair value vs NZ$8.43 current price. 87% market share infrastructure monopoly facing 2028 regulatory reset risks and margin compression pressures.

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cmm

CMM: Gold Mining Giant - Peak Prices, Peak Problems

Updated 8 Oct 2025

SELL rating with $5.20 fair value vs $12.51 current price. Industry-leading AISC of $1,468/oz but trading at 18.6x EV/EBITDA versus peer median 8.5x.

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