mp1
MP1: Network-as-a-Service Pioneer - Platform Dreams, Valuation Nightmares
Updated 8 Oct 2025
AVOID rating with fair value $4.20 vs current $14.82. Strong 19% revenue growth and 95% recurring revenue model undermined by extreme 253% overvaluation and cloud disintermediation risk.
View note
mgh
MGH: Construction Materials Consolidator - Infrastructure Dreams Meet Integration Reality
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $3.34 fair value vs $4.24 current price. Strong infrastructure exposure offset by integration risks and overvaluation.
View note
lrk
LRK: Tasmanian Whisky Pioneer - Premium Priced, Execution Challenged
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Premium Tasmanian whisky producer trading at $0.76 vs $0.54 fair value. Business quality 3.98/10, EBITDA margins -20%, requiring $18-45m funding. International expansion critical but execution risks high.
View note
lnw
LNW: Gaming Platform Transformer - Cross-Platform Content Creates the Magic
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $122.30 fair value vs $149 current price. Wide moat gaming platform with 7.5% revenue CAGR and 39% EBITDA margins, though 18% overvalued.
View note
lgi
LGI: Landfill Gas Leader - Expansion's Expensive, Execution's Everything
Updated 8 Oct 2025
LGI trades at $3.50 vs $1.37 fair value. Market leader with 65% share, 19.7% revenue CAGR, expanding 21MW to 56MW by FY30.
View note
lfg
LFG: Non-Bank Lending Leader - Margin Squeeze Meets Dividend Dreams
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Liberty Financial Group analysis: Fair value $3.96 vs current $4.29, 15.6% yield faces sustainability concerns, narrow moat eroding over 4-5 years
View note
kgn
KGN: E-commerce Transformer - Platform Dreams Meet Amazon Reality
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $3.98 fair value vs $4.00 current price. Platform transformation showing 26.9% CAGR but facing Amazon competitive threat.
View note
jhx
JHX: Building Materials Behemoth - AZEK's Acquisition Ambition Meets Valuation Reality
Updated 9 Oct 2025
Strong Sell rating with fair value $11.26 vs current $30.98 - 83% overvaluation despite solid fundamentals and AZEK synergies
View note
jbh
JBH: Electronics Giant - Navigating the Amazon Storm
Updated 11 Oct 2025
Market-leading retailer with 35.2% ROIC trading at fair value $67.02, facing e-commerce disruption whilst maintaining exceptional operational efficiency and 25% market share.
View note
ire
IRE: Fintech Transformer - From Conglomerate Chaos to Software Success
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $6.03 fair value vs $7.96 current price. Strong business quality (8.04/10) but overvalued with 24% downside risk despite transformation success.
View note
ipg
IPG: Electrical Distributor - Sparks Flying, But Wrong Direction
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $3.28 fair value vs $3.73 current price. Revenue growth moderating to 5.7% CAGR with margin compression pressures.
View note
ina
INA: Lifestyle Communities Developer - Demographics Can't Save Overpriced Dreams
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $3.60 fair value vs $5.96 current price. Strong demographics offset by execution risks and regulatory headwinds.
View note