Upside: Low

pfp

PFP: Death Care Consolidator - Premium Price, Mortal Returns

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Propel Funeral Partners trades at $5.04 vs $3.83 fair value with 32% overvaluation despite solid fundamentals and demographic tailwinds creating asymmetric downside risk.

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org

ORG: Energy Transition Titan - Batteries Charged, Competition Loading

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $10.78 fair value vs $11.20 current price. Market leader with 25.8% share, 5.1% dividend yield, facing battery execution risks.

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one

ONE: Healthcare IT Specialist - Bedside Manner Needs Work

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Healthcare IT company trading at $0.24 vs $0.095 fair value. Strong recurring revenue model offset by execution risks and EMR competition. 60% overvalued.

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oml

OML: Outdoor Advertising Giant - Government's Coming for the Revenue

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market leader oOh!media trades at $1.77 vs fair value $1.27. EBITDA margins 19.7%, market share 30% but facing government capture risks and competitive erosion.

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ocl

OCL: GovTech Fortress - Premium Price, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Government software leader trading at 41.6x EBITDA vs 18.5x peers. Fair value $8.71 implies -55% downside. Strong moats face Microsoft threat.

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obm

OBM: Underground Gold Miner - Peak Performance, Peak Peril

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Strong Sell rating with fair value $0.26 vs current $0.85. EBITDA margins of 45.7% unsustainable as gold prices normalise from record highs.

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nxl

NXL: Forensic Analytics Specialist - Platform Transformation or AI Elimination?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nuix trades at $2.48 vs fair value $1.78. Neo platform shows 132% growth but faces 60% AI disruption probability. EBITDA margins 16.8%, churn rising to 7.1%.

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nxg

NXG: Uranium Development Giant - Nuclear Renaissance's Golden Child

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Development-stage uranium leader with 3.10% ore grade advantage. Fair value $12.83 CAD vs current price, 82.7% projected EBITDA margins, binary regulatory catalyst November 2025.

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nwl

NWL: Platform Powerhouse - Perfection Priced, Reality Pending

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Australia's #1 wealth platform with 89.2% ROIC trades at $37.14 vs $9.67 fair value. Exceptional margins face inevitable compression as competition intensifies.

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neu

NEU: Rare Disease Royalty King - Exceptional Quality, Expensive Entry

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Monopoly Rett syndrome treatment with 83.4% margins and A$222m cash. Fair value A$10.46 vs current A$16.93 suggests 62% overvaluation despite exceptional business quality.

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NCK

NCK: Furniture Retail Leader - UK Conversion's Make or Break Moment

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nick Scali trades at $19.37 vs fair value $18.34, reflecting 5.6% overvaluation. Strong ANZ market leadership with UK expansion catalyst requiring selective entry timing.

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nan

NAN: Infection Prevention Pioneer - CORIS Platform Gamble at Premium Prices

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.25 fair value vs $4.49 current price. Strong trophon franchise but CORIS execution risk at 28% premium valuation.

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