Risk: Medium

rdx

RDX: Chemical Distribution Leader - Recovery Priced In, Execution Required

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $2.17 fair value vs $2.31 current price. Dominant ANZ position, 5.4% yield, but US expansion struggles and margin recovery challenges limit upside.

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qbe

QBE: Global Insurance Giant - Transformed but Trapped by Market Euphoria

Updated 8 Oct 2025

QBE Insurance shows strong transformation with 18.2% ROE and 93.1% combined ratio, but fair value analysis suggests 54% overvaluation at current levels.

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qan

QAN: Aviation Powerhouse - Flying High on Fleet Renewal Wings

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Dominant Australian airline trading at 38% discount with $19.04 fair value versus $11.89 current price, 20% EBITDA margins, 65% market share.

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prn

PRN: Underground Mining Giant - Digging Deep for Value

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mining services leader trading at 3.1x EV/EBITDA vs 9.0x peer median, fair value $3.92 vs current $2.02, strong execution track record

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ppm

PPM: Non-Bank Lending Leader - Royal Commission's Gift That Keeps Giving

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Fair value $3.62 vs current $1.94 (87% upside). Market-leading non-bank lender with 48.8% EBITDA margins, 12.1% ROIC, transforming to capital-light servicing model.

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pfg

PFG: Financial Services Platform - OneConnected's Wealth Transfer Windfall

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at 5.1x EBITDA vs peer median 12.5x, fair value $0.645 vs current $0.26 implies 148% upside through demographic tailwinds and platform integration.

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org

ORG: Energy Transition Titan - Batteries Charged, Competition Loading

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $10.78 fair value vs $11.20 current price. Market leader with 25.8% share, 5.1% dividend yield, facing battery execution risks.

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ora

ORA: Packaging Powerhouse - Transformation's Final Chapter

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Orora trades at A$1.89 versus A$2.38 fair value with 26% upside potential. Strong market positions offset by customer concentration risks and integration challenges.

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nxg

NXG: Uranium Development Giant - Nuclear Renaissance's Golden Child

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Development-stage uranium leader with 3.10% ore grade advantage. Fair value $12.83 CAD vs current price, 82.7% projected EBITDA margins, binary regulatory catalyst November 2025.

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nwh

NRW: Mining Services Contractor - OneSteel's Pain, Investor's Gain

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mining services contractor trading at $3.47 vs $5.96 fair value (72% upside). Strong order book visibility, conservative balance sheet, temporary OneSteel impacts clearing.

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neu

NEU: Rare Disease Royalty King - Exceptional Quality, Expensive Entry

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Monopoly Rett syndrome treatment with 83.4% margins and A$222m cash. Fair value A$10.46 vs current A$16.93 suggests 62% overvaluation despite exceptional business quality.

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NCK

NCK: Furniture Retail Leader - UK Conversion's Make or Break Moment

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nick Scali trades at $19.37 vs fair value $18.34, reflecting 5.6% overvaluation. Strong ANZ market leadership with UK expansion catalyst requiring selective entry timing.

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