Risk: High

rfg

RFG: Franchise Operator - Firehouse Gamble with Refinancing Roulette

Updated 8 Oct 2025

ACCUMULATE rating with $22.67 fair value vs $1.52 current price. Multi-brand franchise operator executing strategic transformation with 11% revenue CAGR forecast.

View note
reh

REH: Plumbing Distribution Giant - Premium Price, Leaky Valuation

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Reece trades at $14.93 vs fair value $11.80, offering -21% return potential with 68% loss probability amid construction headwinds and competitive pressures.

View note
qub

QUB: Logistics Giant - Infrastructure Assets Can't Hide the Execution Mess

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.82 fair value vs $4.43 current price. Margin compression and execution risks outweigh defensive infrastructure characteristics.

View note
ppe

PPE: Staffing Services Specialist - PALM Scheme Monopoly Meets Olympic Opportunity

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $0.65 vs $11.26 fair value (1,632% upside). PALM scheme monopoly, Queensland infrastructure catalyst, margins recovering 3.0% to 9.6%. High risk, exceptional reward potential.

View note
pnv

PNV: Medical Device Pioneer - Healing Promise Meets Reality Check

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Medical device manufacturer with 54% revenue growth but trading at 237x EBITDA. Fair value A$1.06 vs current A$1.48 implies 28% downside risk.

View note
ply

PLY: Gaming Developer - All-In on IP, All-Out of Options

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Australia's largest independent game developer attempting high-risk transformation. Fair value $0.089 vs current $0.21. Quality score 3.7/10, 65% IP failure probability.

View note
pls

PLS: Lithium Giant - Premium Price, Trough Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pilbara Minerals analysis: Current $2.20 vs fair value $0.85, SELL rating, extreme overvaluation despite operational excellence and tier-one assets.

View note
pl8

PL8: Income Maximiser - Premium's Party's Over, Hangover Begins

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Income LIC trading at unsustainable 22.3% premium to NTA. Fair value $1.30 vs current $1.41. Systematic advantages eroding, competitive pressure mounting.

View note
pfp

PFP: Death Care Consolidator - Premium Price, Mortal Returns

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Propel Funeral Partners trades at $5.04 vs $3.83 fair value with 32% overvaluation despite solid fundamentals and demographic tailwinds creating asymmetric downside risk.

View note
one

ONE: Healthcare IT Specialist - Bedside Manner Needs Work

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Healthcare IT company trading at $0.24 vs $0.095 fair value. Strong recurring revenue model offset by execution risks and EMR competition. 60% overvalued.

View note
oml

OML: Outdoor Advertising Giant - Government's Coming for the Revenue

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market leader oOh!media trades at $1.77 vs fair value $1.27. EBITDA margins 19.7%, market share 30% but facing government capture risks and competitive erosion.

View note
ocl

OCL: GovTech Fortress - Premium Price, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Government software leader trading at 41.6x EBITDA vs 18.5x peers. Fair value $8.71 implies -55% downside. Strong moats face Microsoft threat.

View note