RFG: Franchise Operator - Firehouse Gamble with Refinancing Roulette
ACCUMULATE rating with $22.67 fair value vs $1.52 current price. Multi-brand franchise operator executing strategic transformation with 11% revenue CAGR forecast.
View noteACCUMULATE rating with $22.67 fair value vs $1.52 current price. Multi-brand franchise operator executing strategic transformation with 11% revenue CAGR forecast.
View noteReece trades at $14.93 vs fair value $11.80, offering -21% return potential with 68% loss probability amid construction headwinds and competitive pressures.
View noteHOLD rating with $3.82 fair value vs $4.43 current price. Margin compression and execution risks outweigh defensive infrastructure characteristics.
View noteTrading at $0.65 vs $11.26 fair value (1,632% upside). PALM scheme monopoly, Queensland infrastructure catalyst, margins recovering 3.0% to 9.6%. High risk, exceptional reward potential.
View noteMedical device manufacturer with 54% revenue growth but trading at 237x EBITDA. Fair value A$1.06 vs current A$1.48 implies 28% downside risk.
View noteAustralia's largest independent game developer attempting high-risk transformation. Fair value $0.089 vs current $0.21. Quality score 3.7/10, 65% IP failure probability.
View notePilbara Minerals analysis: Current $2.20 vs fair value $0.85, SELL rating, extreme overvaluation despite operational excellence and tier-one assets.
View noteIncome LIC trading at unsustainable 22.3% premium to NTA. Fair value $1.30 vs current $1.41. Systematic advantages eroding, competitive pressure mounting.
View notePropel Funeral Partners trades at $5.04 vs $3.83 fair value with 32% overvaluation despite solid fundamentals and demographic tailwinds creating asymmetric downside risk.
View noteHealthcare IT company trading at $0.24 vs $0.095 fair value. Strong recurring revenue model offset by execution risks and EMR competition. 60% overvalued.
View noteMarket leader oOh!media trades at $1.77 vs fair value $1.27. EBITDA margins 19.7%, market share 30% but facing government capture risks and competitive erosion.
View noteGovernment software leader trading at 41.6x EBITDA vs 18.5x peers. Fair value $8.71 implies -55% downside. Strong moats face Microsoft threat.
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