AMI
AMI: Base Metals Miner - Federation's Firing, Cobar's Calling
Updated 22 Oct 2025
Undervalued base metals producer with 232% upside potential. Fair value $0.63 vs current $0.19. Strong EBITDA margins 35.5%, net cash position, targeting 40kt copper equivalent by FY28.
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al3
AL3: Defence AM Pioneer - Certified Success, Overpriced Reality
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fair value $0.051 vs current $0.24 implies 79% downside. Strong defence positioning overwhelmed by extreme valuation and persistent cash burn through 2030.
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ppt
PPT: Financial Services Transformer - Simplification's the Salvation
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fair value $20.62 vs current $20.90. Corporate Trust moat with 45%+ margins. J O Hambro turnaround critical. Expected 3-year returns 2.5% annually.
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dro
DRO: Counterdrone Specialist - Flying High, Landing Hard
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Pure-play counterdrone leader trading at $4.99 vs $2.59 fair value. Strong growth potential undermined by working capital crisis and 85% execution failure probability.
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xrf
XRF: Analytical Equipment Specialist - Peak Performance, Peak Peril
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Analytical equipment manufacturer trading at $2.12 vs $1.21 fair value. Strong Q1 growth but unsustainable 27.6% EBITDA margins face inevitable compression.
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fid
FID: Integrated Wealth Platform - Quality Execution Meets Transition Complexity
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fiducian trades at $12.57 vs $11.84 fair value with 52.1% ROIC and 7.2/10 quality score, managing platform transformation amid legacy business decline
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ilu
ILU: Mineral Sands Giant - Crisis Management Meets Critical Minerals
Updated 17 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $5.25 fair value vs $8.10 current price. Quality mining operation with validated crisis management and rare earths transformation potential.
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ngi
NGI: Alternative Asset Powerhouse - Flight to Quality Creates Exceptional Opportunity
Updated 17 Oct 2025
Alternative asset manager trading at $2.16 vs $5.60 fair value (159% upside) with record AUM growth and operational excellence validation
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qfe
QFE: Professional Services Lender - Transformation Complete, Value Creation Commences
Updated 17 Oct 2025
Pure lending specialist with A$0.446 fair value vs A$0.115 current price, 18.5% ROIC, A$35.8M cash, 74% margin of safety
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sgp
SGP: Property Development Giant - Excellence Validated, Valuation Elevated
Updated 17 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $4.53 fair value vs $6.43 current price. Strong Q1 operational performance validates management execution but creates 29.5% overvaluation concern requiring exceptional execution for positive returns.
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boq
BOQ: Regional Banking Specialist - Digital Transformation at a Discount
Updated 15 Oct 2025
Regional bank transformation trading at 29% discount to $9.31 fair value, with specialist banking margins and digital execution driving value creation through operational leverage.
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twe
TWE: Luxury Wine Transformation - Execution Overwhelm Derails Premium Dreams
Updated 15 Oct 2025
Treasury Wine Estates faces material execution challenges with fair value $4.68 vs current $6.835, implying -32% overvaluation amid China weakness and operational bandwidth constraints.
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