AMP: Retirement Specialist - Transformation Complete, Value Creation Commences
AMP trades at $1.63 vs $1.93 fair value following successful transformation to retirement specialist. 18% upside with 4.9% yield and wide moat characteristics.
View noteAMP trades at $1.63 vs $1.93 fair value following successful transformation to retirement specialist. 18% upside with 4.9% yield and wide moat characteristics.
View noteAtlas Arteria trades at A$49.20 versus A$87.49 fair value, offering 75% upside through regulatory normalisation catalysts with 4.9% yield and 98% FCF conversion.
View noteALS Limited trades at 16.0x EV/EBITDA (25% peer premium) despite 7.35/10 quality score. Fair value $16.77 vs current $19.78 implies 15.2% downside with mining cycle risks.
View noteTrading at $68.84 vs fair value $79.44 (15.4% upside). Gaming Operations market leader (42% share) with Interactive division scaling toward $1bn revenue by FY29. ROIC 19.2% vs WACC 10.3%.
View noteAuckland Airport trades at $7.03 vs $2.71 fair value (64% overvalued). Monopolistic 75% market share offset by negative NZ$500m annual FCF through 2028, 98.3% terminal value dependency, and inevitable margin compression from 69.8% peaks.
View noteFair value $14.96 vs current $9.76. Market leader executing renewable transformation with 9.6GW pipeline. EBITDA margins expanding 13.2% to 17.7%.
View noteTrading at $0.26 vs $8.71 fair value (3,250% upside). OGPP reliability transformation to 99.4% unlocks operational leverage with 65% EBITDA margins. ECSP drilling Q2 FY26 targets 90 TJ/d new supply with 70% success probability in structurally tight market.
View noteAdairs trades at $2.59 vs $3.34 fair value (29% upside), with transformation under new CEO showing early momentum (22.6% Q1 sales growth) though Focus challenges and technology execution create 53% combined failure probability requiring disciplined risk management.
View noteHOLD rating with A$3.57 fair value vs A$6.07 current price. Dominant AV networking platform faces execution complexity and valuation premium challenges.
View noteTrading at $4.48 vs fair value $6.48, ABB shows 44.6% upside with 8.4% NBN market share, 11.6% EBITDA margins, and diversified revenue streams.
View noteTrading at NZ$8.78 vs fair value NZ$5.06 (42% overvalued). China concentration (68% revenue) and imminent competitive entry (60% probability within 24 months) threaten premium positioning. EBITDA margins compressing from 15.1% peak to 14.0% as moat narrows.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.85 fair value vs $2.655 current price. 6.2% yield, 99.9% occupancy, but EV transition risks limit growth.
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