Moat: Narrow

obm

OBM: Underground Gold Miner - Peak Performance, Peak Peril

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Strong Sell rating with fair value $0.26 vs current $0.85. EBITDA margins of 45.7% unsustainable as gold prices normalise from record highs.

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nxl

NXL: Forensic Analytics Specialist - Platform Transformation or AI Elimination?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nuix trades at $2.48 vs fair value $1.78. Neo platform shows 132% growth but faces 60% AI disruption probability. EBITDA margins 16.8%, churn rising to 7.1%.

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nwl

NWL: Platform Powerhouse - Perfection Priced, Reality Pending

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Australia's #1 wealth platform with 89.2% ROIC trades at $37.14 vs $9.67 fair value. Exceptional margins face inevitable compression as competition intensifies.

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nwh

NRW: Mining Services Contractor - OneSteel's Pain, Investor's Gain

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mining services contractor trading at $3.47 vs $5.96 fair value (72% upside). Strong order book visibility, conservative balance sheet, temporary OneSteel impacts clearing.

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NCK

NCK: Furniture Retail Leader - UK Conversion's Make or Break Moment

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nick Scali trades at $19.37 vs fair value $18.34, reflecting 5.6% overvaluation. Strong ANZ market leadership with UK expansion catalyst requiring selective entry timing.

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mye

MYE: Underground Mining Contractor - Digging Out of Deep Value

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mastermyne trades at $0.14 vs $0.45 fair value following external mining disruptions. Strong safety record and technical differentiation support recovery potential.

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mvp

MVP: Pharmaceutical Turnaround - From Pain to Gain

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pharmaceutical turnaround story trading at $0.615 vs $0.94 fair value. 54% upside potential with 31% European growth and operational recovery to 8.1% EBITDA margins.

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mp1

MP1: Network-as-a-Service Pioneer - Platform Dreams, Valuation Nightmares

Updated 8 Oct 2025

AVOID rating with fair value $4.20 vs current $14.82. Strong 19% revenue growth and 95% recurring revenue model undermined by extreme 253% overvaluation and cloud disintermediation risk.

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mlg

MLG: Mining Services Specialist - Discount Deeper Than the Goldfields

Updated 8 Oct 2025

MLG trades at 68% discount to peers despite operational recovery. Fair value $1.00 vs current $0.80 with 25% upside potential.

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mhj

MHJ: Jewellery Retail Turnaround - Diamonds in the Rough

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Deep value opportunity at $0.41 vs $2.49 fair value. EBITDA margins recovering from 13.1% trough. Canadian operations prove model works with 4.4% SSS growth.

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mgh

MGH: Construction Materials Consolidator - Infrastructure Dreams Meet Integration Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.34 fair value vs $4.24 current price. Strong infrastructure exposure offset by integration risks and overvaluation.

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mfg

MFG: Asset Manager Alchemist - Partnerships Turn Base Metal into Gold

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $13.07 fair value vs $10.94 current price. Partnership income surged 202% to 38% of profit. 6.7% dividend yield with transformation execution risk.

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