Moat: Narrow

gtn

GTN: Traffic Info Specialist - Caught Between Tradition and Disruption

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $0.41 vs $0.65 fair value. 9%+ dividend yield, 6.8x EV/EBITDA vs 9.5x peers. Technology disruption risks offset by defensive positioning.

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gnc

GNC: Grain Giant - From Trough to Triumph

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Deep value agricultural infrastructure play trading at $8.62 vs $17.80 fair value. 60% ECA market share, 5.2% yield, processing expansion catalyst.

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gem

GEM: Childcare Giant - Playground Politics and Profit Potential

Updated 8 Oct 2025

G8 Education trades at 8.9x EV/EBITDA versus peers at 12.8x. Fair value $1.14 versus current $0.83 implies 37% upside with 94% NQS quality rating.

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evn

EVN: Gold Mining Giant - Peak Performance, Perfect Storm

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Evolution Mining analysis reveals fair value $2.49 with deteriorating outlook. Strong operations face commodity normalisation and margin compression over forecast period.

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dmp

DMP: Pizza Franchise Giant - Extreme Discount, Extreme Opportunity

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at 79% discount to peers following aggressive restructuring. Fair value $21.11 vs current $15.19 implies 39% upside for turnaround execution.

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bfg

BFG: Financial Services Transformer - Platform Play with Fortress Balance Sheet

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Bell Financial Group trades at $1.23 versus $2.34 fair value, offering 90% upside through platform transformation with $96.8m net cash providing downside protection.

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ask

ASK: Storage King Supreme - Pipeline Dreams Meet Reality Check

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Australia's largest self-storage operator trading at $1.52 vs $1.45 fair value with 25% market share, 4.1% yield, facing $256m development execution risk

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ahl

AHL: Industrial Manufacturer - Squeezed in the Middle, Searching for an Edge

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Adrad Holdings: Fair value $0.95 vs current $0.66 (44% upside). HOLD rating. Industrial manufacturer with 4.9% market share, 10.8% EBITDA margins compressing, ROIC 6.4% destroying value. Data centre exposure offset by Asian competition and execution risks.

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a1m

A1M: Copper Miner - Jericho's Make-or-Break Moment

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Development-stage copper producer with fair value A$0.289 vs current A$0.32. Binary Jericho execution risk with 70% combined failure probability creates unfavourable risk-reward for conservative investors.

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tpw

TPW: Online Furniture Pioneer - Margin Magic or Amazon's Next Target?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Temple & Webster fair value $7.76, EBITDA margins expanding 3.1% to 4.5% peak, 70% Amazon expansion risk, 12.8% ROIC, growth-oriented investors

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thl

THL: RV Rental Giant - Tourism's Sleeping Beauty Awakens

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Global #1 RV rental operator trading at $2.02 vs $6.55 fair value (224% upside). Tourism recovery from 85% to 100%+ of 2019 levels drives fleet utilisation and margin expansion, though execution risks remain.

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sxe

SXE: Infrastructure Services Transformer - Safety First, Growth Second

Updated 8 Oct 2025

BUY rating with $2.19 fair value vs $1.94 current price. 24.8% ROIC, debt-free balance sheet, 21-year safety record. Infrastructure supercycle exposure.

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