Trading at $0.26 vs $8.71 fair value (3,250% upside). OGPP reliability transformation to 99.4% unlocks operational leverage with 65% EBITDA margins. ECSP drilling Q2 FY26 targets 90 TJ/d new supply with 70% success probability in structurally tight market.
View noteAdairs trades at $2.59 vs $3.34 fair value (29% upside), with transformation under new CEO showing early momentum (22.6% Q1 sales growth) though Focus challenges and technology execution create 53% combined failure probability requiring disciplined risk management.
View noteAcumentis trades at $0.070 vs fair value $0.114 (63% upside). National platform with 2.1% market share faces AVM disruption threatening 40-60% revenue, margin compression to 5.1%, and subscale competitive disadvantage. ROIC 6.5% vs WACC 14.3% indicates value destruction.
View noteABY trades at $0.80 vs $0.40 fair value with 50% downside risk. Store expansion faces execution challenges amid intensifying competition from Sephora and Mecca.
View noteTrading at $4.48 vs fair value $6.48, ABB shows 44.6% upside with 8.4% NBN market share, 11.6% EBITDA margins, and diversified revenue streams.
View noteTrading at $0.45 vs fair value $0.46 (+2.2% upside), AAL faces 47% coal revenue exposure with 3-5 year transformation window. EBITDA margins compress 690bps to 21.9% as competitive advantages erode.
View noteIntegrated aluminium producer trading 36% above fair value at commodity peak. Quality operator facing inevitable mean reversion with 45% correction probability.
View noteTrading at NZ$8.78 vs fair value NZ$5.06 (42% overvalued). China concentration (68% revenue) and imminent competitive entry (60% probability within 24 months) threaten premium positioning. EBITDA margins compressing from 15.1% peak to 14.0% as moat narrows.
View noteMid-tier copper producer facing binary restart execution at suspended Capricorn mine. Fair value $0.29 vs current $0.40 implies 28% overvaluation. High-grade resources offset by single-asset dependency and negative FCF through 2029.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.85 fair value vs $2.655 current price. 6.2% yield, 99.9% occupancy, but EV transition risks limit growth.
View noteWHC trades at $6.77 versus $12.19 fair value (80% upside). Australia's #3 coal producer with strong FCF generation and integration synergies.
View noteViva Leisure trades at $1.345 versus $8.29 fair value (517% upside). Technology platform growing 127.7% with 92% recurring revenue model.
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