chc
CHC: Property Platform Powerhouse - Premium Price, Perfect Storm Brewing
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Charter Hall Group analysis reveals 50% overvaluation with fair value $11.04 vs current $22.01, facing competitive threats and margin compression despite market leadership.
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cen
CEN: Renewable Energy Transformer - Power Play or Pipeline Peril?
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Hold rating with $7.80 fair value vs $8.14 current price. 98% renewable portfolio, 20% market share, 8.4% revenue CAGR, but execution risks from $3.1bn concurrent initiatives.
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cda
CDA: Defence Tech Darling - Peak Performance, Peak Peril
Updated 8 Oct 2025
STRONG SELL rating with 58% downside to $10.22 fair value. Peak 24.5% EBITDA margins face inevitable compression as technology commoditises.
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ccp
CCP: Debt Buying Dynamo - Transformation's Terminal Value Trap
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $10.31 fair value vs $15.62 current price. Strong market leadership offset by 36% overvaluation and execution risk across multiple strategic initiatives.
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cba
CBA: Banking Behemoth - Party's Over, Hangover Begins
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Australia's dominant bank faces cyclical normalisation from peak metrics. Fair value $122.47 vs current $185.00. Quality franchise, challenging outlook.
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bvs
BVS: Wealth Management Software - Digital Dreams, Succession Schemes
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Specialised wealth management software provider trading at $2.21 vs $1.53 fair value. Strong business quality (7.6/10) with 19.5% EBITDA margins but facing competitive pressure and CEO succession uncertainty.
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bsl
BSL: Steel Cycle Survivor - Trough to Peak Recovery Play
Updated 8 Oct 2025
BlueScope Steel analysis: Fair value $28.30 vs current $24.24 (16.7% upside). EBITDA margins recovering from 8.9% trough to 11.7% target. Multi-domestic strategy, net cash balance sheet.
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brg
BRG: Premium Appliance Powerhouse - When Perfect Execution Still Isn't Enough
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Trading at 30.0x EV/EBITDA (88% premium to peers), fair value $14.50 vs current $36.18 implies 60% downside despite strong operational metrics.
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aub
AUB: Insurance Intermediary - Lloyd's Access Unlocks Global Growth
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Fair value $41.52 vs current $33.29 (24.7% upside). Strong Lloyd's market access, digital platform leadership, 78% recurring revenue, defensive characteristics.
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ata
ATA: Sovereign IT Champion - Integration Complexity Creates Compelling Entry Point
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Atturra trades at $0.80 vs $1.40 fair value (75% upside) with 300+ security clearances creating sovereign IT moat despite integration execution risks
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asb
ASB: Naval Shipbuilder - Steel Yourself for Transformation
Updated 8 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $4.37 fair value vs $4.50 current price. Strong $14.2bn order book but execution risks during steel programme transition. 11.8% revenue CAGR forecast.
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apz
AIA: Aviation Gateway - Terminal Integration's Make-or-Break Moment
Updated 8 Oct 2025
Auckland Airport trades at NZ$4.36 versus fair value NZ$5.10, with 18% ROIC and 69.8% EBITDA margins offset by NZ$3.5bn Terminal Integration execution risk through FY29.
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