EDU: Education Provider - Regulatory Roulette with Remarkable Returns
Fair value $0.65 vs current $0.515. 30% EBITDA margins, 46% ROIC, but 89% international student dependency creates binary regulatory risk.
View noteFair value $0.65 vs current $0.515. 30% EBITDA margins, 46% ROIC, but 89% international student dependency creates binary regulatory risk.
View noteSELL rating with fair value $18.62 vs current $30.24. Healthcare distribution leader faces margin compression and direct distribution threats.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.39 fair value vs $2.80 current price. Exceptional 98.6% occupancy offset by development execution risks and overvaluation concerns.
View noteREDUCE rating with $5.50 target vs $9.06 current. Fair value $5.07 implies 44% downside. 71% ROIC, debt-free balance sheet offset by Microsoft dependency and margin compression.
View noteIndustrial cooling manufacturer trading 58% above $2.65 fair value with deteriorating competitive moat, value-destructive ROIC of 7.5% vs 10.5% WACC, and technology disruption risks.
View noteInfrastructure services leader trading at $6.89 vs $9.78 fair value following successful transformation. EBITDA margins at 10-year highs, 42% upside potential.
View noteHold rating with $7.84 fair value vs $7.37 current price. Strong execution capabilities offset by inevitable margin compression as housing shortage normalises.
View noteProfitable biotech rarity with 90% EPP monopoly and transformational vitiligo opportunity. Fair value $19.94 vs current $10.89 implies 83% upside. Quality score 7.9/10.
View noteComputershare trades near $17.95 fair value with 37.7% EBITDA margins facing compression to 33% over 3-5 years. Quality defensive business with 5.5% yield.
View noteHOLD rating on Coles Group at $23.20 vs $23.35 fair value. Defensive duopoly position with 28% market share faces ACCC penalties and Amazon entry risk.
View noteAlternative asset manager trading at $1.98 vs $2.66 fair value. Strong fundamentals with 14.2% ROIC, 33.4% EBITDA margins, defensive 75% recurring revenues.
View noteSELL rating with $5.20 fair value vs $12.51 current price. Industry-leading AISC of $1,468/oz but trading at 18.6x EV/EBITDA versus peer median 8.5x.
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