AMI
AMI: Base Metals Miner - Federation's Firing, Cobar's Calling
Updated 22 Oct 2025
Undervalued base metals producer with 232% upside potential. Fair value $0.63 vs current $0.19. Strong EBITDA margins 35.5%, net cash position, targeting 40kt copper equivalent by FY28.
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brn
BRN: Neuromorphic AI Pioneer - First to Market, Last to Profit?
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fair value $0.121 vs current $0.225 (47% overvalued). 95% revenue CAGR forecast, 79% customer concentration, 68% failure probability. Speculative growth only.
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al3
AL3: Defence AM Pioneer - Certified Success, Overpriced Reality
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fair value $0.051 vs current $0.24 implies 79% downside. Strong defence positioning overwhelmed by extreme valuation and persistent cash burn through 2030.
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ppt
PPT: Financial Services Transformer - Simplification's the Salvation
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fair value $20.62 vs current $20.90. Corporate Trust moat with 45%+ margins. J O Hambro turnaround critical. Expected 3-year returns 2.5% annually.
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dro
DRO: Counterdrone Specialist - Flying High, Landing Hard
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Pure-play counterdrone leader trading at $4.99 vs $2.59 fair value. Strong growth potential undermined by working capital crisis and 85% execution failure probability.
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bap
BAP: Automotive Aftermarket Leader - Transformation's Taking Time, But Value's Taking Shape
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Market-leading automotive distributor trading at 13% discount during operational transformation. Fair value $4.21 vs current $3.17 implies 33% upside with medium risk profile.
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xrf
XRF: Analytical Equipment Specialist - Peak Performance, Peak Peril
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Analytical equipment manufacturer trading at $2.12 vs $1.21 fair value. Strong Q1 growth but unsustainable 27.6% EBITDA margins face inevitable compression.
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fid
FID: Integrated Wealth Platform - Quality Execution Meets Transition Complexity
Updated 20 Oct 2025
Fiducian trades at $12.57 vs $11.84 fair value with 52.1% ROIC and 7.2/10 quality score, managing platform transformation amid legacy business decline
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ilu
ILU: Mineral Sands Giant - Crisis Management Meets Critical Minerals
Updated 17 Oct 2025
HOLD rating with $5.25 fair value vs $8.10 current price. Quality mining operation with validated crisis management and rare earths transformation potential.
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cyg
CYG: Industrial Distributor - Back to Basics, Forward to Profits
Updated 17 Oct 2025
Industrial distribution turnaround with $6.64 fair value vs $0.605 current price. Q1 EBITDA recovery validates $10m cost program. High risk, exceptional upside potential.
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ngi
NGI: Alternative Asset Powerhouse - Flight to Quality Creates Exceptional Opportunity
Updated 17 Oct 2025
Alternative asset manager trading at $2.16 vs $5.60 fair value (159% upside) with record AUM growth and operational excellence validation
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qfe
QFE: Professional Services Lender - Transformation Complete, Value Creation Commences
Updated 17 Oct 2025
Pure lending specialist with A$0.446 fair value vs A$0.115 current price, 18.5% ROIC, A$35.8M cash, 74% margin of safety
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