equity-research

rio

RIO: Mining Titan - Iron Ore Giant Pivots to Energy Transition

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Rio Tinto analysis reveals 28% upside potential through operational excellence and energy transition positioning, with fair value $107.22 USD versus current market pricing.

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rff

RFF: Agricultural REIT Pioneer - Water's Worth More Than Gold

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Australia's only pure-play agricultural REIT trades 12% below $2.16 fair value with 6.1% yield, though refinancing risk at 15.5x leverage creates execution dependency

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pwr

PWR: Automotive Retailer - Chinese Whispers and Cyclical Recovery

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Deep value opportunity trading at $1.84 vs $6.51 fair value. Chinese brand expansion and margin recovery from cyclical trough. High risk, high reward.

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pnc

PNC: Debt Recovery Specialist - Profits Without Cash, Problems Without End

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pioneer Credit analysis: SELL rating, fair value $0.44 vs current $0.59. Structural negative FCF despite profitability, 6.9x leverage approaching covenants.

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pme

PME: Medical Imaging Pioneer - Streaming Ahead of the Competition

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pro Medicus fair value $16.11 with 80% EBITDA margins facing inevitable compression as competitive response intensifies over 3-5 years.

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nsr

NSR: Self-Storage Supremo - Pipeline Dreams, Refinancing Nightmares

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market leader with 26% share trading at $2.47 vs $1.66 fair value. Strong growth trajectory offset by execution risk and unsustainable 75.5% margins.

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mto

MTO: Motorcycle Consolidator - Revving Up for Market Domination

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $3.65 vs fair value $9.53 (161% upside). Market leader with 16.6% share consolidating fragmented industry. Strong cash generation, proven acquisition track record.

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mnd

MND: Engineering Services Provider - Peak Margins, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Engineering services provider trading at $20.22 vs $11.62 fair value with EBITDA margins at unsustainable 7.0% peak facing labour cost pressures

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mgr

MGR: Property Platform Powerhouse - Leverage Trap Lurking Beneath

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mirvac Group analysis reveals 73% downside to fair value of $0.73 despite quality assets, driven by unsustainable 5.7x debt/EBITDA leverage and negative free cash flow through FY32.

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mad

MAD: Technical Services Specialist - Culture Clash at Scale

Updated 8 Oct 2025

SELL rating with $5.34 fair value vs $8.26 current price. Strong operator facing labour cost pressures and scaling challenges.

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hsn

HSN: Billing Software Specialist - Premium Price, Commodity Future

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Hansen Technologies trades at $6.04 versus fair value of $4.87, with 28.4% EBITDA margins compressing to 25.3% as competitive moats narrow over 5-7 years.

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gtn

GTN: Traffic Info Specialist - Caught Between Tradition and Disruption

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $0.41 vs $0.65 fair value. 9%+ dividend yield, 6.8x EV/EBITDA vs 9.5x peers. Technology disruption risks offset by defensive positioning.

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