Trading at $0.45 vs fair value $0.46 (+2.2% upside), AAL faces 47% coal revenue exposure with 3-5 year transformation window. EBITDA margins compress 690bps to 21.9% as competitive advantages erode.
View noteIntegrated aluminium producer trading 36% above fair value at commodity peak. Quality operator facing inevitable mean reversion with 45% correction probability.
View noteTrading at NZ$8.78 vs fair value NZ$5.06 (42% overvalued). China concentration (68% revenue) and imminent competitive entry (60% probability within 24 months) threaten premium positioning. EBITDA margins compressing from 15.1% peak to 14.0% as moat narrows.
View noteLife360 rated Attractive with $92.34 fair value. Category-leading family safety platform with 65% market share, 32% revenue CAGR, expanding internationally with advertising monetisation upside.
View noteMid-tier copper producer facing binary restart execution at suspended Capricorn mine. Fair value $0.29 vs current $0.40 implies 28% overvaluation. High-grade resources offset by single-asset dependency and negative FCF through 2029.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.85 fair value vs $2.655 current price. 6.2% yield, 99.9% occupancy, but EV transition risks limit growth.
View noteWHC trades at $6.77 versus $12.19 fair value (80% upside). Australia's #3 coal producer with strong FCF generation and integration synergies.
View noteFair value $4.47 vs current $2.53 (77% upside). Australia's #5 gold producer with 7Mtpa processing capacity, 13% production CAGR, trading 22% below peers despite superior growth.
View noteViva Leisure trades at $1.345 versus $8.29 fair value (517% upside). Technology platform growing 127.7% with 92% recurring revenue model.
View noteMarket-leading general insurer with 32.1% share, fair value $16.13, 4.8% yield, strong capital position offset by margin compression risks
View noteSELL rating with fair value $2.17 vs current $3.28. Strong platform economics validated but 51% overvaluation unsustainable.
View noteDeep value opportunity trading at $0.14 vs $0.92 fair value (557% upside). Strong financial health, improving trajectory, medium risk profile.
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