equity-research

pls

PLS: Lithium Giant - Premium Price, Trough Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pilbara Minerals analysis: Current $2.20 vs fair value $0.85, SELL rating, extreme overvaluation despite operational excellence and tier-one assets.

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pl8

PL8: Income Maximiser - Premium's Party's Over, Hangover Begins

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Income LIC trading at unsustainable 22.3% premium to NTA. Fair value $1.30 vs current $1.41. Systematic advantages eroding, competitive pressure mounting.

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pfp

PFP: Death Care Consolidator - Premium Price, Mortal Returns

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Propel Funeral Partners trades at $5.04 vs $3.83 fair value with 32% overvaluation despite solid fundamentals and demographic tailwinds creating asymmetric downside risk.

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pfg

PFG: Financial Services Platform - OneConnected's Wealth Transfer Windfall

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at 5.1x EBITDA vs peer median 12.5x, fair value $0.645 vs current $0.26 implies 148% upside through demographic tailwinds and platform integration.

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org

ORG: Energy Transition Titan - Batteries Charged, Competition Loading

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $10.78 fair value vs $11.20 current price. Market leader with 25.8% share, 5.1% dividend yield, facing battery execution risks.

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ora

ORA: Packaging Powerhouse - Transformation's Final Chapter

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Orora trades at A$1.89 versus A$2.38 fair value with 26% upside potential. Strong market positions offset by customer concentration risks and integration challenges.

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one

ONE: Healthcare IT Specialist - Bedside Manner Needs Work

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Healthcare IT company trading at $0.24 vs $0.095 fair value. Strong recurring revenue model offset by execution risks and EMR competition. 60% overvalued.

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oml

OML: Outdoor Advertising Giant - Government's Coming for the Revenue

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market leader oOh!media trades at $1.77 vs fair value $1.27. EBITDA margins 19.7%, market share 30% but facing government capture risks and competitive erosion.

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ocl

OCL: GovTech Fortress - Premium Price, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Government software leader trading at 41.6x EBITDA vs 18.5x peers. Fair value $8.71 implies -55% downside. Strong moats face Microsoft threat.

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obm

OBM: Underground Gold Miner - Peak Performance, Peak Peril

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Strong Sell rating with fair value $0.26 vs current $0.85. EBITDA margins of 45.7% unsustainable as gold prices normalise from record highs.

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nxl

NXL: Forensic Analytics Specialist - Platform Transformation or AI Elimination?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nuix trades at $2.48 vs fair value $1.78. Neo platform shows 132% growth but faces 60% AI disruption probability. EBITDA margins 16.8%, churn rising to 7.1%.

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nxg

NXG: Uranium Development Giant - Nuclear Renaissance's Golden Child

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Development-stage uranium leader with 3.10% ore grade advantage. Fair value $12.83 CAD vs current price, 82.7% projected EBITDA margins, binary regulatory catalyst November 2025.

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