Earnings: Medium

reh

REH: Plumbing Distribution Giant - Premium Price, Leaky Valuation

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Reece trades at $14.93 vs fair value $11.80, offering -21% return potential with 68% loss probability amid construction headwinds and competitive pressures.

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rdx

RDX: Chemical Distribution Leader - Recovery Priced In, Execution Required

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $2.17 fair value vs $2.31 current price. Dominant ANZ position, 5.4% yield, but US expansion struggles and margin recovery challenges limit upside.

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qub

QUB: Logistics Giant - Infrastructure Assets Can't Hide the Execution Mess

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.82 fair value vs $4.43 current price. Margin compression and execution risks outweigh defensive infrastructure characteristics.

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ppe

PPE: Staffing Services Specialist - PALM Scheme Monopoly Meets Olympic Opportunity

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $0.65 vs $11.26 fair value (1,632% upside). PALM scheme monopoly, Queensland infrastructure catalyst, margins recovering 3.0% to 9.6%. High risk, exceptional reward potential.

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pls

PLS: Lithium Giant - Premium Price, Trough Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pilbara Minerals analysis: Current $2.20 vs fair value $0.85, SELL rating, extreme overvaluation despite operational excellence and tier-one assets.

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ora

ORA: Packaging Powerhouse - Transformation's Final Chapter

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Orora trades at A$1.89 versus A$2.38 fair value with 26% upside potential. Strong market positions offset by customer concentration risks and integration challenges.

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one

ONE: Healthcare IT Specialist - Bedside Manner Needs Work

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Healthcare IT company trading at $0.24 vs $0.095 fair value. Strong recurring revenue model offset by execution risks and EMR competition. 60% overvalued.

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oml

OML: Outdoor Advertising Giant - Government's Coming for the Revenue

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market leader oOh!media trades at $1.77 vs fair value $1.27. EBITDA margins 19.7%, market share 30% but facing government capture risks and competitive erosion.

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obm

OBM: Underground Gold Miner - Peak Performance, Peak Peril

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Strong Sell rating with fair value $0.26 vs current $0.85. EBITDA margins of 45.7% unsustainable as gold prices normalise from record highs.

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nxl

NXL: Forensic Analytics Specialist - Platform Transformation or AI Elimination?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nuix trades at $2.48 vs fair value $1.78. Neo platform shows 132% growth but faces 60% AI disruption probability. EBITDA margins 16.8%, churn rising to 7.1%.

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nwh

NRW: Mining Services Contractor - OneSteel's Pain, Investor's Gain

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mining services contractor trading at $3.47 vs $5.96 fair value (72% upside). Strong order book visibility, conservative balance sheet, temporary OneSteel impacts clearing.

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NCK

NCK: Furniture Retail Leader - UK Conversion's Make or Break Moment

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Nick Scali trades at $19.37 vs fair value $18.34, reflecting 5.6% overvaluation. Strong ANZ market leadership with UK expansion catalyst requiring selective entry timing.

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