Trading at $0.26 vs $8.71 fair value (3,250% upside). OGPP reliability transformation to 99.4% unlocks operational leverage with 65% EBITDA margins. ECSP drilling Q2 FY26 targets 90 TJ/d new supply with 70% success probability in structurally tight market.
View noteAdairs trades at $2.59 vs $3.34 fair value (29% upside), with transformation under new CEO showing early momentum (22.6% Q1 sales growth) though Focus challenges and technology execution create 53% combined failure probability requiring disciplined risk management.
View noteHOLD rating with A$3.57 fair value vs A$6.07 current price. Dominant AV networking platform faces execution complexity and valuation premium challenges.
View noteAcumentis trades at $0.070 vs fair value $0.114 (63% upside). National platform with 2.1% market share faces AVM disruption threatening 40-60% revenue, margin compression to 5.1%, and subscale competitive disadvantage. ROIC 6.5% vs WACC 14.3% indicates value destruction.
View noteTrading at $0.45 vs fair value $0.46 (+2.2% upside), AAL faces 47% coal revenue exposure with 3-5 year transformation window. EBITDA margins compress 690bps to 21.9% as competitive advantages erode.
View noteIntegrated aluminium producer trading 36% above fair value at commodity peak. Quality operator facing inevitable mean reversion with 45% correction probability.
View noteWHC trades at $6.77 versus $12.19 fair value (80% upside). Australia's #3 coal producer with strong FCF generation and integration synergies.
View noteFair value $4.47 vs current $2.53 (77% upside). Australia's #5 gold producer with 7Mtpa processing capacity, 13% production CAGR, trading 22% below peers despite superior growth.
View noteViva Leisure trades at $1.345 versus $8.29 fair value (517% upside). Technology platform growing 127.7% with 92% recurring revenue model.
View noteDeep value opportunity trading at $0.14 vs $0.92 fair value (557% upside). Strong financial health, improving trajectory, medium risk profile.
View noteAustralia's only pure-play agricultural REIT trades 12% below $2.16 fair value with 6.1% yield, though refinancing risk at 15.5x leverage creates execution dependency
View noteDeep value opportunity trading at $1.84 vs $6.51 fair value. Chinese brand expansion and margin recovery from cyclical trough. High risk, high reward.
View note