Treasury Wine Estates faces material execution challenges with fair value $4.68 vs current $6.835, implying -32% overvaluation amid China weakness and operational bandwidth constraints.
View noteSELL rating with $1.92 fair value vs $3.24 current price. 41% overvalued despite 147% EBITDA growth as Big Tech disruption threatens market position.
View noteStrong SaaS business with 55% Australia market share trading at 42x EBITDA vs 24x peer median. Fair value NZ$48.58 implies 72% downside from current NZ$174.30.
View noteDominant logistics platform with 99%+ retention trading at extreme 42x P/E. Fair value $12.62 vs $101.96 current price implies 88% downside risk.
View noteWoolworths trades at $28.88 versus $19.39 fair value. Market leader faces margin pressure and execution risks. Quality business at wrong price.
View noteEngineering services leader trading at $14.45 vs $18.72 fair value with 69% sustainable backlog positioning for energy transition opportunities.
View noteEssential infrastructure leader trading near fair value $5.10 with 8.2% EBITDA margins facing inevitable compression. Defensive 3.9% yield offset by ACCC risk and safety concerns.
View noteVEEM trades at $1.25 vs $0.87 fair value with 85% gyro market share, 18.6% revenue CAGR projected, but 30% overvaluation risk.
View noteHOLD rating with fair value $1.77 vs current $2.09. Transformation execution risks outweigh convenience retail opportunity at current premium valuation.
View noteAustralia's #2 retail REIT with fortress assets trading at $2.57 vs $1.82 fair value. Peak 99.5% occupancy faces normalisation. ROIC 4.1% below 9.5% WACC indicates value destruction despite quality portfolio.
View noteIntermediate gold producer trading 60% above fair value of A$0.375 despite strong balance sheet. EBITDA margins face compression from 43.2% to 35%.
View noteHOLD rating with $7.64 fair value vs $8.54 current price. Strong execution but fashion cycle risks mounting.
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