Ryan Lim

Ryan Lim

acu

ACU: Property Valuation Platform - Stuck in the Middle, Squeezed on All Sides

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Acumentis trades at $0.070 vs fair value $0.114 (63% upside). National platform with 2.1% market share faces AVM disruption threatening 40-60% revenue, margin compression to 5.1%, and subscale competitive disadvantage. ROIC 6.5% vs WACC 14.3% indicates value destruction.

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aby

ABY: Beauty E-commerce Pioneer - Transformation or Trap?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

ABY trades at $0.80 vs $0.40 fair value with 50% downside risk. Store expansion faces execution challenges amid intensifying competition from Sephora and Mecca.

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abb

ABB: Telco Transformer - From NBN Challenger to Platform Player

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $4.48 vs fair value $6.48, ABB shows 44.6% upside with 8.4% NBN market share, 11.6% EBITDA margins, and diversified revenue streams.

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aapi

AAPI: Sports Betting Startup - Three Months to Make It or Break It

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Pre-revenue sports betting platform with 3-month cash runway, 78% failure probability, and $0.28 fair value versus $0.25 current price. Bottom-quartile quality (3.0/10) facing existential funding crisis.

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aal

AAL: Mining Equipment Specialist - Coal's Countdown, Infrastructure's Last Chance

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at $0.45 vs fair value $0.46 (+2.2% upside), AAL faces 47% coal revenue exposure with 3-5 year transformation window. EBITDA margins compress 690bps to 21.9% as competitive advantages erode.

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aai

AAI: Aluminium Giant - Peak Pricing, Peak Problems

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Integrated aluminium producer trading 36% above fair value at commodity peak. Quality operator facing inevitable mean reversion with 45% correction probability.

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a2m

A2M: Premium Dairy Specialist - First-Mover Advantage Fading Fast

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Trading at NZ$8.78 vs fair value NZ$5.06 (42% overvalued). China concentration (68% revenue) and imminent competitive entry (60% probability within 24 months) threaten premium positioning. EBITDA margins compressing from 15.1% peak to 14.0% as moat narrows.

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360

360: Family Safety Pioneer - Network Effects Meet Global Ambition

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Life360 rated Attractive with $92.34 fair value. Category-leading family safety platform with 65% market share, 32% revenue CAGR, expanding internationally with advertising monetisation upside.

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29m

29M: Copper Miner - Restart Roulette with Water Troubles

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Mid-tier copper producer facing binary restart execution at suspended Capricorn mine. Fair value $0.29 vs current $0.40 implies 28% overvaluation. High-grade resources offset by single-asset dependency and negative FCF through 2029.

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Alpha Insights - James Hardie Q2 FY26 Update

Updated 8 Oct 2025

I'm back! So - quick walk-through. Below is still an automation-in-progress for Alpha Insights. It is now my biggest priority since polishing up the website. There are still a few things that I need to make a decision on, and also figure out the placement/delivery of these

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wpr

WPR: Fuel Retail Property REIT - Defensive Yield Play Facing Electric Evolution

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $2.85 fair value vs $2.655 current price. 6.2% yield, 99.9% occupancy, but EV transition risks limit growth.

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whc

WHC: Coal Mining Colossus - Scale Transformation Meets Cycle Recovery

Updated 8 Oct 2025

WHC trades at $6.77 versus $12.19 fair value (80% upside). Australia's #3 coal producer with strong FCF generation and integration synergies.

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