Ryan Lim

crn

CRN: Coal Miner - Going Concern, Going Broke

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Distressed metallurgical coal producer with negative fair value of -$0.21 USD, 65% probability of permanent capital loss, and September 2025 covenant testing creating binary outcomes.

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cqr

CQR: Convenience Retail Champion - Premium Price, Perilous Position

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.25 fair value vs $4.08 current price. 20% downside risk from premium valuation and unsustainable 0.61x distribution coverage.

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cqe

CQE: Social Infrastructure REIT - Defensive Assets, Dangerous Concentration

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Market-leading social infrastructure REIT with 15.2% share faces critical tenant concentration and refinancing risks. Fair value $1.80 vs current $0.97, though probability-weighted analysis suggests $0.57 reflecting structural challenges.

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cpu

CPU: Financial Infrastructure Fortress - Peak Margins Meet Mean Reversion Reality

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Computershare trades near $17.95 fair value with 37.7% EBITDA margins facing compression to 33% over 3-5 years. Quality defensive business with 5.5% yield.

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cos

COS: Asset Management Transformer - Service Evolution or Execution Illusion?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

COSOL trades at $0.60 vs $0.96 fair value amid AMaaS transformation. 13.4% revenue growth forecast, 14.8% peak margins by FY28. Quality score 5.7/10, narrow moat, high execution risk.

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col

COL: Supermarket Stalwart - Automation's Promise, Amazon's Threat

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating on Coles Group at $23.20 vs $23.35 fair value. Defensive duopoly position with 28% market share faces ACCC penalties and Amazon entry risk.

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cnu

CNU: Fibre Infrastructure Giant - Regulatory Reset Roulette

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with NZ$5.60 fair value vs NZ$8.43 current price. 87% market share infrastructure monopoly facing 2028 regulatory reset risks and margin compression pressures.

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cni

CNI: Alternative Asset Platform - AI Infrastructure Meets Property Expertise

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Alternative asset manager trading at $1.98 vs $2.66 fair value. Strong fundamentals with 14.2% ROIC, 33.4% EBITDA margins, defensive 75% recurring revenues.

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cmm

CMM: Gold Mining Giant - Peak Prices, Peak Problems

Updated 8 Oct 2025

SELL rating with $5.20 fair value vs $12.51 current price. Industry-leading AISC of $1,468/oz but trading at 18.6x EV/EBITDA versus peer median 8.5x.

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clg

CLG: Circular Economy Player - Recycling Problems, Not Just Waste

Updated 8 Oct 2025

HOLD rating with $3.62 fair value vs $4.10 current price. Operational turnaround story facing execution challenges and competitive pressure in circular economy sector.

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chc

CHC: Property Platform Powerhouse - Premium Price, Perfect Storm Brewing

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Charter Hall Group analysis reveals 50% overvaluation with fair value $11.04 vs current $22.01, facing competitive threats and margin compression despite market leadership.

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cen

CEN: Renewable Energy Transformer - Power Play or Pipeline Peril?

Updated 8 Oct 2025

Hold rating with $7.80 fair value vs $8.14 current price. 98% renewable portfolio, 20% market share, 8.4% revenue CAGR, but execution risks from $3.1bn concurrent initiatives.

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