SGM: Metal Recycling Giant - Caught Between China's Hammer and EAF's Anvil
HOLD rating with $16.19 fair value vs $15.05 current price. Strong operational execution offset by Chinese export dependency and commodity cycle risks.
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HOLD rating with $16.19 fair value vs $15.05 current price. Strong operational execution offset by Chinese export dependency and commodity cycle risks.
View noteIndustrial distributor trading 17% below $0.88 fair value with 16.7% ROIC and proven M&A execution across fragmented Australian market.
View noteFair value $23.50 vs current $20.00. EBITDA margins 19.1% compressing to 17.5%. Strong market positions face inevitable competitive convergence. Quality 6.75/10.
View noteMid-tier polymetallic miner with 45% EBITDA margins trading at $15.43 vs $3.82 fair value. Strong operations, challenging valuation at commodity cycle peak.
View noteTrading at $20.86 vs fair value $32.23 (+54.5% upside). EBITDA margins 18.7% vs peers 12%. Property NAV $16.73/share provides downside protection. Medium risk, favourable outlook.
View noteSPECULATIVE BUY rating with $0.91 fair value vs $0.29 current price. 214% upside potential offset by scale disadvantages and execution risks in competitive market.
View noteHOLD rating with $23.21 fair value vs $25.16 current price. Platform Unification complete, targeting 46% EBITDA margins through operational leverage amid employment recovery.
View noteHOLD rating with $2.79 fair value vs $2.57 current price. 5.8% franked yield, 4.5% alpha generation, premium NTA trading.
View noteSpecialty chemical supplier transforming to PFAS technology leader. Fair value $0.72 vs current $0.30. High growth potential offset by customer concentration and execution risks.
View noteSiteMinder trades at $7.50 versus $3.68 fair value (51% overvaluation). Strong platform business with 7.4/10 quality score but execution risk limits appeal at current levels.
View noteRisk-adjusted fair value A$0.28 vs current A$0.35. Binary expansion project dependency with 30% failure probability creating -66% downside risk.
View noteHOLD rating with $3.15 fair value vs $4.55 current price. Quality franchise facing patent expiry 2028-2030 and tariff headwinds. Strong cash generation but structural challenges ahead.
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